New Year’s Resolution for Savvy Investors: Look Back at the History of Investing for Lessons for 2016
Understanding History is a True Bonus for Investors to Be the Best Advocates for Their Own Financial Interests, Say Norton Reamer and Jesse Downing, Authors of a New Book, Investment: A History
Boston (December 15, 2015) – Thinking about how to improve your portfolio next year? Don’t forget the last three thousand.
A healthy understanding of investment history is a true bonus for investors – lay and professional alike – to avoid pitfalls and to be the best advocates for their own financial interests. Whether it’s running a personal retirement account or a university endowment, ancient history has lessons for portfolios today.
That’s according to Norton Reamer and Jesse Downing, co-authors of Investment: A History (Columbia Business School Publishing, February 2016). Reamer is also the founder of United Asset Management and former CEO of Putnam Investments, and Downing is an investment professional in Boston. The book traces the history of investment, from the ancient world to the present day, and draws lessons for today’s investors at all levels.
Reamer and Downing note that for thousands of years, the only people who qualified as “investors” were wealthy and politically connected landowners. Yet in the blink of an eye, historically speaking, that world has been replaced by one full of investment opportunities for average people – stocks and bonds, mutual funds, life insurance, pensions and real estate.
“The key is that successful investors throughout history have stuck to a few basic principles,” says Reamer. “As complex as investing can be, it is, at the same time, possible to avoid some obvious mistakes.”
Reamer and Downing have identified four guideposts that can help investors as they head into 2016:
- Focus on what’s “real” – Don’t get distracted by the form of an investment (e.g., a stock certificate or a bond note). Make sure you understand the real asset behind the piece of paper, such as the company behind the stock you are buying, or the public works project issuing the bond. When buying a mutual fund or other packaged investment the same rule applies: make sure you understand the fund manager’s criteria for buying and selling securities in the portfolio. Focusing on what’s “real” should always be the priority.
- Focus on fundamental “value” – In its simplest form, the value of an investment today is determined by the present value of its future cash generation – that is, the future cash that the investment will produce over its lifetime. Don’t be distracted by market gyrations. Take a long-term perspective and understand that markets go up and down, often for reasons other than fundamental value. Investors often forget this basic rule and allow emotion to guide their decisions – and make mistakes as a result.
- Consider the intelligent use of leverage – Excessive leverage is dangerous, but most of the great fortunes in history were built using moderate and smart amounts of leverage. For example, a home mortgage is a sensible form of leverage for most families. On the other hand, taking out a second mortgage to fund a speculative investment is probably foolhardy.
- Allocate your capital – Every investment is an “allocation” of capital. That is, it’s a choice between competing priorities and opportunities. Make informed, deliberate choices and tradeoffs as you decide where to put your money – especially when the choice is between saving, spending, and investing. Think through your needs. Do your best to be accountable to yourself. Set some objectives and stick to them.
“Investment is one of humanity’s most fundamental activities, and in the modern world it’s open to more people than ever before,” adds Downing. “We encourage everyone to learn some basic investment principles and take full advantage of this unprecedented opportunity.”
To arrange a conversation with Mr. Reamer and Mr. Downing, please contact Eric Mosher at Sommerfield Communications, Inc. at email@example.com or 212-255-8386.